В Европе дорожает газ: экономика России окажется в выигрыше

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Проблемы Старого Света пополнят отечественный бюджет

Европа переживает острый энергетический кризис. Побит очередной рекорд: цена на газ в ходе торгов превысила отметку $810 за 1 тыс. куб. м. Эксперт рассказал «МК», как проблемы Старого Света скажутся на России. Главный аналитик компании Esperio Лев Кравец считает, что взлет европейских котировок природного газа приведет к росту налоговых поступлений в отечественный бюджет.

В Европе дорожает газ: экономика России окажется в выигрыше

-Почему растет цена на газ?

-Цены на природный газ растут из-за острого дефицита, который сложился на газовом рынке с начала лета 2021 года. Прошлый отопительный сезон в Европе и Азии затянулся из-за холодной весны: запасы в хранилищах снизились до многолетних минимумов (на 20-30% ниже средних за последние 5 лет значений).

Покупатели из Азии, за счет готовности платить премию к европейским ценам за СПГ, смогли перенаправить на себя большую часть поставок сжиженного газа, а европейцы сделали ставку на трубопроводный газ из России. Жаркое лето и высокая потребность в электроэнергии для кондиционирования воздуха не позволили Европе существенно нарастить запасы за летние месяцы: их уровень к середине сентября едва превысил 70%.

Ранее канцлер Германии Ангела Меркель и президент США Джо Байден достигли соглашения о беспрепятственном завершении строительства «Северного потока-2» (СП-2), что снизило остроту дефицита газа для европейских покупателей, это хорошо видно по снижению газовых цен в начале августа на 10%.

ЧИТАТЬ ТАКЖЕ:  Что нового ждет россиян с 1 августа: пенсии, спам-рассылки, утильсбор

Однако затем появились новые проблемы. Например, затягивание сертификации СП-2 Федеральным сетевым агентством Германии.

Нетрудно понять, что сертификат на использование СП-2 может быть получен лишь 13 января 2022 года. Из этого следует, что дополнительных поставок российского газа в Европу не будет. Поэтому цены на газ растут и продолжат расти.

-Ваши прогнозы. Газ продолжит дорожать?

-Дефицит предложения на газовом рынке сохранится до тех пор, пока не будет принято решение по сертификации СП-2. Самым разумным вариантом было бы проведение процедур Федеральным сетевым агентством Германии в более сжатые сроки. Но тут может вмешаться политика. 26 сентября в Германии пройдут парламентские выборы, на которых большинство может получить партия «Зеленых», выступающая против СП-2. Поэтому локально до конца сентября рост цен на газ может продолжиться еще на 5-10%.

-Перспективы происходящего для России?

-Для нашей страны высокие цены на газ безусловно выгодны. Это дает прямое увеличение прибыли российских газовых компаний, а также рост объемов налоговых поступлений в бюджет.

18 КОММЕНТАРИИ

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    In controlled trials, scientific signs of liver damage as
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    References:

    PedsElite

  4. Steroids act on the limbic system and may cause irritability and gentle despair.
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    Decrease dosages up to 6.25 mg weekly didn’t, suggesting
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    Some preliminary data relating to the time course of HPGA recovery after AAS use have recently been revealed (176).
    At the group level, mean testosterone ranges returned to baseline three months
    after cessation. Importantly, 37% of the topics had indicators
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    This could be defined by incomplete recovery of the HPGA due to recent AAS use or prolonged or persistent hypogonadism from previous use.

    Totally Different kinds of anabolics may be processed by the body
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    Serum creatinine ranges are generally used to estimate the
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    The eGFR is an effective and impartial predictor of all-cause
    and cardiovascular mortality and kidney failure in a extensive
    range of populations (158). However, it should be appreciated
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    which is doubtful on this particular population. Creatinine is,
    for probably the most part, a product of the spontaneous nonenzymatic
    degradation of creatine (Cr) and creatine phosphate
    (PCr) (159). The overall conversion fee for the total Cr pool (Cr + PCr) is
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    The eGFR primarily based on serum creatinine ranges is due to this fact an underestimate
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    The world of bodybuilding typically goes hand
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