Аналитик Осадчий назвал приоритетный драгметалл: почему такие вложения стали популярной инвестицией осенью

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«Золото остается в приоритете, но стоит присмотреться и к серебру» Поделиться

На минувшей неделе был обновлен очередной исторический рекорд цены на золото — $2750 за тройскую унцию. А с начала 2024 года стоимость драгметалла выросла на 30%. Аналитики объясняют повышенный интерес к золоту желанием инвесторов вкладываться в защитный актив в условиях очередной эскалации конфликта на Ближнем Востоке. Свой вклад в рост цены драгметалла внесли также развивающиеся страны — Индия, Китай, Турция и Саудовская Аравия, которые увеличили его закупки в свои золотовалютные резервы. Следует ли россиянам брать пример с крупнейших стран и инвестировать в драгоценные металлы сегодня, «МК» выяснил у начальника аналитического управления банка БКФ Максима Осадчего.

Аналитик Осадчий назвал приоритетный драгметалл: почему такие вложения стали популярной инвестицией осенью

Фото: ru.freepik.com

— Можно ли говорить о том, что золото – это сейчас «тихая гавань», где укрываются инвесторы во время штормов на финансовых рынках и следует вкладываться в этот драгметалл?

— Да, причем следует избегать металлических счетов. Только физическое золото и лучше в слитках. И я в таком мнении не одинок. Например, за золото агитирует и заместитель министра финансов России Алексей Моисеев. В своем выступлении на Московском финансовом форуме 18 октября он сказал: «Наличная иностранная валюта более не является безопасным способом сбережения. Кто не доверяет банкам и страховым, значит, кэш как бы не вариант, покупайте золото».

Причем, учетная цена золота выросла с 6 822 рублей за грамм 10 августа до 8 511 рублей к 25 октября, почти на 25%. Цена золота в долларах выросла за тот же период более чем на 13%. Золото штурмует высоту в $3000 за тройскую унцию.

— Другими словами, вкладываться в золото сейчас по-прежнему выгодно, потому что его цена может стать ещё выше. Но ведь может и не стать…Ряд экспертов полагает, что после недавнего исторического рекорда стоимость драгметалла может снизиться, поэтому следует подождать, чтобы купить выгоднее. Вы не согласны с такой стратегией? 

— Пока факторы, которые толкают золото к новым рекордам, только усиливаются: дестабилизация геополитики, наращивание многими развивающимися странами золотых резервов из-за угрозы санкций… Обострился конфликт на Ближнем Востоке. Возросла угроза войны между Ираном и Израилем. Важный вклад в рост цены золота вносит и геополитический конфликт в Восточной Европе. Чем нестабильнее мир, тем сильнее нужда в «золотом якоре».

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— Но ведь есть же и другие драгоценные металлы — например, серебро или платина. Чем они плохи для вложений?

— Да, не золотом единым жив человек. Недавно, 30 сентября появилось сообщение о том, что Россия будет в 2025-2027 годах направлять ежегодно 51,5 млрд рублей для приобретения драгметаллов и драгоценных камней в Госфонд РФ. Планируется приобретение аффинированных золота, серебра, платины и палладия.

Включение серебра — «золота для бедных» — в резервы, разумеется, не от хорошей жизни. Это реакция на санкции. Но в принципе приобретение альтернативных драгоценных металлов позволит диверсифицировать золотовалютные резервы России, которые в настоящее время состоят только из золота и юаней.

— У серебра есть ограничения?

— Да, серебро крайне неудобно с точки зрения логистики, ведь оно стоит почти в сто раз дешевле золота. Поэтому решение о включении этого металла в российские резервы дискуссионно.

— Так какие металлы сегодня лучшие всего использовать россиянам для инвестиций?

— Золото остается в приоритете, но стоит присмотреться и к серебру. Причем в отношении серебра я бы рекомендовал не только покупать слитки, но и монеты, особенно царских времен. Тем более, что многие из них очень красивы. Однако не забывайте о необходимости экспертизы, так как рынок заполонили китайские подделки серебряных монет Российской империи.

— Вы советуете гражданам вкладываться в драгметаллы, а между тем у крупных банков очень большая разница между ценой продажи и ценой покупки слитков — так называемый спред. Почему так происходит и не делает ли это инвестиции в то же золото в слитках, как минимум, невыгодным для россиян?

— Действительно, некоторые банки устанавливают просто грабительские спреды. Например, один из ведущих банков страны 25 октября продавал слитки серебра массой 50 г за 6,3 тыс рублей, а покупал на 1,4 тыс дешевле — за 4,9 тыс рублей. Вероятно, регулятор мог бы ограничить аппетит особо жадных банков.

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